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Transmission Dynamics of a COVID-19 Outbreak in a Homeless Shelter in Chicago, Illinois, USA

  • In this thesis, we implement, correct, and modify the compartmental model described in “Transmission Dynamics of Large Coronavirus Disease Outbreak in Homeless Shelter, Chicago, Illinois, USA, 2020”. Our objective is to engage in reading and understanding scientific literature, reproduce the results, and modify or generalize an existing mathematical model. We provide an overview of epidemiological models, focusing on simple compartmental SEIR models. We correct inaccuracies and misprints in the original implementation and use the limited-memory Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno algorithm to fit the model’s parameters. Furthermore, we modify the model by introducing an additional compartment. The resulting model has a more intuitive interpretation and relies on fewer assumptions. We also perform the fitting process for this alternative model. Finally, we demonstrate the advantages of our modified implementations and discuss other possible approaches.

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Metadaten
Author:Dmitrii Rudanov
Advisor:Kristan Schneider, Franke Baaske
Document Type:Bachelor Thesis
Language:English
Year of Completion:2023
Publishing Institution:Hochschule Mittweida
Granting Institution:Hochschule Mittweida
Release Date:2024/04/08
GND Keyword:COVID-19; Pandemie; Epidemiologie; Mathematisches Modell
Page Number:71
Institutes:Angewandte Computer‐ und Bio­wissen­schaften
DDC classes:511.8 Mathematisches Modell
Open Access:Frei zugänglich
Licence (German):License LogoUrheberrechtlich geschützt